Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.037831 0.041254 0.044714 0.048466 0.052415 0.056441 0.060849
2025-09-14 0.032833 0.037917 0.043238 0.049196 0.055656 0.062425 0.070031
2025-09-21 0.028722 0.034960 0.041694 0.049446 0.058065 0.067302 0.077896
2025-09-28 0.026217 0.033424 0.041418 0.050834 0.061524 0.073187 0.086780
2025-10-05 0.022983 0.030729 0.039556 0.050196 0.062515 0.076183 0.092352
2025-10-12 0.020671 0.028881 0.038472 0.050269 0.064163 0.079801 0.098531
2025-10-19 0.019007 0.027652 0.037979 0.050910 0.066368 0.083981 0.105296
2025-10-26 0.017756 0.026816 0.037863 0.051917 0.068939 0.088539 0.112472
2025-11-02 0.015335 0.024306 0.035533 0.050104 0.068035 0.088946 0.114753
2025-11-09 0.013810 0.022847 0.034416 0.049687 0.068732 0.091178 0.119118
2025-11-16 0.012482 0.021550 0.033421 0.049347 0.069461 0.093399 0.123437
2025-11-23 0.011986 0.021362 0.033839 0.050776 0.072359 0.098225 0.130862
2025-11-30 0.011314 0.020901 0.033896 0.051765 0.074758 0.102520 0.137758
2025-12-07 0.010553 0.020260 0.033674 0.052368 0.076665 0.106222 0.143966
2025-12-14 0.009714 0.019441 0.033162 0.052554 0.078020 0.109237 0.149346
2025-12-21 0.009342 0.019304 0.033577 0.053962 0.080936 0.114190 0.157105
2025-12-28 0.008356 0.018133 0.032476 0.053282 0.081122 0.115726 0.160669
2026-01-04 0.007675 0.017394 0.031951 0.053350 0.082254 0.118427 0.165657
2026-01-11 0.007215 0.016983 0.031874 0.054012 0.084150 0.122082 0.171826
2026-01-18 0.006890 0.016774 0.032080 0.055056 0.086549 0.126378 0.178803
2026-01-25 0.005860 0.015252 0.030245 0.053172 0.084999 0.125614 0.179442
2026-02-01 0.005265 0.014449 0.029459 0.052739 0.085363 0.127275 0.183102
2026-02-08 0.004738 0.013720 0.028750 0.052385 0.085811 0.129027 0.186868